The 1-2-3 Rule
For a trend to change, three events must occur.
1. The trend line must be broken - prices must cross the trend line drawn on the chart.
2. Prices stop making higher highs in an uptrend, or lower lows in a downtrend.
3. Prices must go above a previous short term minor rally high in a downtrend, or below a previous short-term minor sell-off in an uptrend.
The 2B Rule
In an uptrend, if prices penetrate the previous high, fail to carry through, and then immediately drop below the previous high, then the trend is apt to reverse. The converse is true for downtrends.
2017年12月26日 星期二
2017年11月14日 星期二
Stock Market Wizards
Steve Cohen:
40% of a stock's price movement was due to the market, 30% to the sector, and only 30% to the stock itself, which is something that I believe is true. I don't know if the percentages are correct, but conceptually the idea makes sense.
I compile statistics on my traders. My best trader makes money only 63% of the time. Most traders make money only in the 50 to 55% range. That means you're going to be wrong a lot. If that's the case, you better make sure your losses are as small as they can be, and that your winners are bigger.
All traders make mistakes; the great traders, however, limit the damage.
There is no single right way to trade the markets.
It is important to make sure you have a good reason for putting on a trade.
No single style or approach can provide superior results over long periods of time. To continue to outperform, the great traders continue to learn and adapt.
40% of a stock's price movement was due to the market, 30% to the sector, and only 30% to the stock itself, which is something that I believe is true. I don't know if the percentages are correct, but conceptually the idea makes sense.
I compile statistics on my traders. My best trader makes money only 63% of the time. Most traders make money only in the 50 to 55% range. That means you're going to be wrong a lot. If that's the case, you better make sure your losses are as small as they can be, and that your winners are bigger.
All traders make mistakes; the great traders, however, limit the damage.
There is no single right way to trade the markets.
It is important to make sure you have a good reason for putting on a trade.
No single style or approach can provide superior results over long periods of time. To continue to outperform, the great traders continue to learn and adapt.
2017年10月1日 星期日
2017年9月18日 星期一
2017年8月22日 星期二
2017年8月3日 星期四
The Philosophy of Investing
1. Never buy or sell a stock without checking the chart.
2. Never buy a stock when good news come out, especially if the chart shows a significant advance prior to the news release.
3. Never buy a stock because it appears cheap after getting smashed.
4. Never buy a stock in a downtrend on the chart.
5. Never hold a stock that is in a downtrend no matter how low the price/earnings ratio.
6. Always be consistent.
2. Never buy a stock when good news come out, especially if the chart shows a significant advance prior to the news release.
3. Never buy a stock because it appears cheap after getting smashed.
4. Never buy a stock in a downtrend on the chart.
5. Never hold a stock that is in a downtrend no matter how low the price/earnings ratio.
6. Always be consistent.
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